新華社12月22日報道，美國高級經濟學家、喬治華盛頓大學經濟學副教授阿爾伯特·凱德爾表示，中國經濟存在潛力，在政策刺激下，明年有望實現強勁復蘇。他認為，展望2023年，“中國經濟將保持強勁”，“將成為世界的亮點”，為全球需求提供“一個支撐點”。
The Chinese economy is poised to deliver solid rebound next year, bolstered by its underlying strength and policy stimulus, a senior U.S. economist has said.
美國高級經濟學家、喬治華盛頓大學經濟學副教授阿爾伯特·凱德爾表示，中國經濟存在潛力，在政策刺激下，明年有望實現強勁復蘇。
"2023 should be a rebound year, there's a lot of stimulus now in investment," Albert Keidel, a development economist specializing in East Asia, told Xinhua in a recent interview.
凱德爾是專門從事東亞研究的發展經濟學家，他在接受新華社采訪時表示：“2023年應該是中國經濟復蘇的一年，現在中國已經采取了很多鼓勵投資的政策。”
"With low inflation, China is in a good position to use its countercyclical tools to stimulate the economy now and in 2023," he said, adding that "the underlying economy remains healthy."
他表示：“在通脹保持在較低水平的情況下，中國現在和明年都可以利用其逆周期工具刺激經濟。經濟根基仍然穩固。”
Keidel, an adjunct professor of economics at George Washington University, said China's economy has maintained resilience amid challenges from COVID incursions and a complex international environment.
凱德爾表示，面對新冠疫情和復雜國際環境的挑戰，中國經濟保持韌性。
Sectors such as high-tech, e-economy and e-commerce sales have presented a strong momentum, evidenced in key economic indicators so far this year, he said.
他表示，高科技、網絡經濟和電商銷售等行業呈現強勁勢頭，今年迄今為止的關鍵經濟指標證明了這一點。
"The strong point is investment levels are quite high, particularly public investments," which also bodes well for continued expansion next year and beyond, noted Keidel, previously a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, a U.S. think tank.
凱德爾曾是美國智庫大西洋理事會高級研究員，他指出，“優勢在于投資水平相當高，尤其是公共投資”，也顯示出明年及以后將持續增長的勢頭。
Moreover, the substantial increase of foreign direct investment in the Chinese mainland showed "a lot of confidence there" from global investors, he said.
此外，他表示，在中國大陸的外國直接投資大幅增加，表明全球投資者對中國大陸“信心十足”。
The economist, also a former senior economist at the World Bank's Beijing office, said China's COVID-19 policy over the past three years has helped minimize the disruption to the structure and organization of the labor force, laying a foundation for the economy.
凱德爾曾是世界銀行駐華代表處高級經濟學家，他說，中國過去三年的防疫政策有助于將疫情對勞動力結構組織的影響降至最低，為經濟發展奠定了基礎。
As China is making efforts to optimize its pandemic response, more potential in the economy will be unleashed, in particular in the fields that require face-to-face services such as restaurants and catering, he said.
他表示，隨著中國努力優化防疫政策，經濟將釋放出更多潛力，特別是在餐飲業等需要面對面服務的領域。
Looking ahead to 2023, "the Chinese economy will be strong," and "will be a bright spot in the world," providing "a node of support in terms of global demand," said Keidel.
凱德爾表示，展望2023年，“中國經濟將保持強勁”，“將成為世界的亮點”，為全球需求提供“一個支撐點”。
來源：新華社
編輯：董靜
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